In line with expectations regarding the beginning of the dry season, July was as a particularly dry month characterised by almost total absence of rainfall.
Accumulated rainfall for the month are close to the climatic average within the entire Sub-County. This information is provided by both satellite precipitation estimates and measures gathered at rain gauges. In particular the following values of monthly rainfall have been recorded in July 2020: Dukana (0 mm), El-Hadi (0 mm), El-Gade (0 mm), Gas (0 mm), Balesa (2 mm), North Horr (3 mm), Kalacha (2 mm).
Due to the arrival of the dry season, the availability of water is limited in the Sub-County and frequent migratory movements are necessary to ensure access to water resources by the local population and their animals. According with traditional experts no drought is expected for this year and communities expect some rainfall soon, due to the presence of nimbus clouds during night and morning. The NOAA-GFS weather predcicton model forecasts some showers by the end of this week. We will keep following the situation.
This analysis is produced in the framework of the One Health project: Multidisciplinary approach to promote the health and resilience of pastoralist in North Kenya – AID11507. It is a 3-year initiative funded by the Italian Agency for Development Cooperation, aimed at improving the access and coordination of human and animal health services and of early warning and response systems to dangerous events that could put the pastoralist communities' health in North Horr Sub-County at risk. The project is led by CCM-Comitato Collaborazione Medica in partnership with VSF Germany - Veterinarians without Borders Germany, TriM - Translate into Meaning, and DIST - Interuniversity Department of Regional and Urban Studies and Planning.